{"id":23141,"date":"2024-04-27T18:56:57","date_gmt":"2024-04-27T18:56:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/questions\/select-an-economic-time-series-that-you-find-interesting-say-something-about-why-you-find-it-interesting-to-analyze-the-series\/"},"modified":"2024-04-27T18:56:57","modified_gmt":"2024-04-27T18:56:57","slug":"select-an-economic-time-series-that-you-find-interesting-say-something-about-why-you-find-it-interesting-to-analyze-the-series","status":"publish","type":"questions","link":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/questions\/select-an-economic-time-series-that-you-find-interesting-say-something-about-why-you-find-it-interesting-to-analyze-the-series\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2022\tSelect an economic time series that you find interesting. Say something about why you find it interesting to analyze the series."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Select an economic time<br \/>\nseries that you find interesting. Say something about why you find it<br \/>\ninteresting to analyze the series.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">While the Federal Reserve<br \/>\nEconomic Data (FRED) site at the St. Louis Fed is a useful source, you are<br \/>\nwelcome to use other sources also.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Clearly state the time<br \/>\nperiod (e.g., July 1995 through Dec 2021) that is being covered.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">If there are specific<br \/>\nsub-periods when the series was expected to behave unusually (e.g. , the<br \/>\npandemic or the War in Ukraine) you may want to use appropriate dummy variables<br \/>\nfor it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Save some of your later<br \/>\nperiod observations for model validation through forecasting while using the<br \/>\nearlier sub-period for estimation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Use your model to<br \/>\nforecast the series for the validation period.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Explain how you decided<br \/>\nto select the ARIMA structure of your model \u2013 e.g., AR or MA, or Mixed ARMA;<br \/>\nhow many lags, etc.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Compare your ARIMA model<br \/>\nwith a time series regression model. For example, you may try to do a<br \/>\nregression of miles driven on the price of gasoline as a time series<br \/>\nregression. Alternatively you may want to do an univariate ARIMA Model of miles<br \/>\ndrive.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\"><span style=\"cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">\u00b7<span style=\"font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; cursor: auto; color: inherit;\">Summarize your results<br \/>\nand your main conclusions.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00b7&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Select an economic time series that you find interesting. Say something about why you find it interesting to analyze the series. \u00b7&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; While the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) site at the St. Louis Fed is a useful source, you are welcome to use other sources also. \u00b7&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Clearly state the time period (e.g., [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":[],"disciplines":[43],"paper_types":[],"tagged":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/questions\/23141"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/questions"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/questions"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/questions\/23141\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"disciplines","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/disciplines?post=23141"},{"taxonomy":"paper_types","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/paper_types?post=23141"},{"taxonomy":"tagged","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.writemyessays.app\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tagged?post=23141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}